MARKET EFFECT

ECONOMIC INDICATOR

12-MONTH TREND

September 2021:

The prediction model has now been updated to account for stimulus from the federal government. Current indictors show that market valuation is very high, but a recession will not occur until leading indicators start declining.

Unemployment Rate
Retail Index
ISM Index
M2 Money Supply
Manufacturer’s New Orders
New Housing Permits
10-Year Treasury Rate
Federal Funds Rate
Consumer Price Index
Volatility Index

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